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Greifswalder FC vs Chemie Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Greifswalder FC host Chemie Leipzig in the Regionalliga Nordost. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Greifswalder FC have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Chemie Leipzig's 1.52 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Greifswalder FC have won 4 to Chemie Leipzig's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2025, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.81 - 1.50) back Greifswalder FC to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Greifswalder FC
15%
Draws
46%
Chemie Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemie Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Greifswalder FC average 2.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Chemie Leipzig's 1.52.
  • Model gives Greifswalder FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Greifswalder FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 16%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greifswalder FC Chemie Leipzig
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC
2:3
Aug 2, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Chemie Leipzig
3:0
Mar 26, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Chemie Leipzig
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Chemie Leipzig
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greifswalder FC 41 / 100
Chemie Leipzig 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greifswalder FC Chemie Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greifswalder FC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chemie Leipzig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Greifswalder FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greifswalder FC VS Chemie Leipzig
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Greifswalder FC

(Home)
24 Oct
Greifswalder FC
2 : 3
Erfurt
18 Oct
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Greifswalder FC
11 Oct
Greifswalder FC
1 : 0
Aue
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
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Chemie Leipzig

(Away)
25 Oct
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
17 Oct
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
09 Oct
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Luckenwalde
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 14 9 4 1 42:18 31
2 Chemnitzer 14 9 3 2 30:9 30
3 Hallescher 14 8 5 1 22:11 29
4 Altglienicke 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
5 Jena 14 8 2 4 23:12 26
6 BFC Dynamo 14 7 5 2 22:13 26
7 Aue 14 7 3 4 23:18 24
8 Greifswalder FC 14 6 4 4 28:23 22
9 Magdeburg II 14 6 1 7 27:28 19
10 Zwickau 14 5 4 5 17:22 19
11 Lokomotive Leipzig 14 4 6 4 27:27 18
12 Babelsberg 14 4 4 6 15:23 16
13 Chemie Leipzig 14 3 4 7 17:22 13
14 BFC Preussen 14 2 5 7 16:22 11
15 SV Tasmania Berlin 14 3 2 9 21:39 11
16 Hertha Berlin II 14 2 4 8 10:25 10
17 Rsv Eintracht 14 2 3 9 15:32 9
18 Luckenwalde 14 2 0 12 14:34 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)