Sport Picks
Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
Match Events
13'
13'
Bokake G.
49'
49'
Tittel K.
Own Goal
52'
52'
Bokake G.
AI Match Summary
Greifswalder FC in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greifswalder FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Greifswalder FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Greifswalder FC have won more games recently than Luckenwalde.
- Model gives Greifswalder FC a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greifswalder FC | Luckenwalde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greifswalder FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bokake G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Luckenwalde Compare
Top Goalscorer Pilger F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greifswalder FC 85 / 100
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greifswalder FC Luckenwalde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Greifswalder FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Greifswalder FC scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Luckenwalde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Greifswalder FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Luckenwalde has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Greifswalder FC VS Luckenwalde
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Greifswalder FC
(Home) 20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2 Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2 Greifswalder FC
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1 Babelsberg
07 Aug
Greifswalder FC
1 : 3 Altglienicke
26 Jul
Greifswalder FC
2 : 2 Hallescher
Page 1 of 4
Luckenwalde
(Away) 20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1 Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1 Luckenwalde
14 Aug
Zwickau
2 : 1 Luckenwalde
04 Aug
Magdeburg II
0 : 1 Luckenwalde
01 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 0 Luckenwalde
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:5 | 26 |
| 3 | Hallescher | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | 22 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 15 |
| 10 | Zwickau | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:23 | 13 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 6 |
| 17 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13:36 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9:28 | 3 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
