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Greifswalder FC vs Zwickau

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Eixler L.
31' Event
Bokake G.
44' Event
Eixler L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Greifswalder FC host Zwickau in the Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Zwickau have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Greifswalder FC have conceded 0.63 and scored 3.13. Head-to-head, Greifswalder FC have won 3 to Zwickau's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 2.13) point toward Zwickau. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Greifswalder FC
28%
Draws
50%
Zwickau
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zwickau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Zwickau has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Greifswalder FC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Zwickau.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 10%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greifswalder FC Zwickau
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 3.13 3.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Zwickau
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Greifswalder FC
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Zwickau
2:1
Aug 2, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Greifswalder FC
0:2
May 5, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Zwickau
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokake G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Zwickau Compare

Top Goalscorer Eixler L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greifswalder FC 22 / 100
Zwickau 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greifswalder FC Zwickau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greifswalder FC scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Zwickau let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Greifswalder FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zwickau lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greifswalder FC VS Zwickau
3.13 Goals Scored 3.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914