Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio 2 vs Passo Fundo

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2024 Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Pedro Vitor B. d. S.

AI Match Summary

Gremio 2 in this Copa FGF 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gremio 2
20%
Draws
57%
Passo Fundo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Passo Fundo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Passo Fundo lately — more wins on the board than Gremio 2.
  • Model gives Passo Fundo a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Passo Fundo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio 2, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gremio 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio 2 Passo Fundo
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 10
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 0.88 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Copa FGF
Gremio 2 vs Passo Fundo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Vitor B. d. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Passo Fundo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 2 16 / 100
Passo Fundo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio 2 Passo Fundo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passo Fundo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio 2's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Defensive concern: Passo Fundo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gremio 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Passo Fundo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Gremio 2
3 : 1
Aimore
03 Oct
SC Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Gremio 2
25 Sept
Gremio 2
1 : 3
SC Gaucho
22 Sept
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Gremio 2
18 Sept
Internacional 2
2 : 1
Gremio 2
Page 1 of 2

Passo Fundo

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
13 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
06 Sept
Passo Fundo
0 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Jose (PA) 8 5 3 0 15:6 18
2 Ypiranga FC 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
3 EC Juventude 2 8 4 0 4 10:11 12
4 SC Gaucho 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
5 Passo Fundo 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
6 Internacional 2 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
7 Aimore 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
8 Gremio 2 8 3 1 4 7:8 10
9 SC Sao Paulo 8 0 1 7 4:28 1
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)