Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio 2 vs SC Gaucho

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2024 Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Joao Araujo
36' Event
Maicon Assis
71' Event
Kevlin

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with SC Gaucho advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gremio 2
30%
Draws
39%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Gaucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Gaucho come out ahead of Gremio 2 on wins alone.
  • Gremio 2 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • SC Gaucho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Gaucho, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gremio 2 Clean Sheet 20%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio 2 SC Gaucho
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 8
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Copa FGF
Gremio 2 vs SC Gaucho
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Araujo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Maicon Assis
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kevlin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 2 36 / 100
SC Gaucho 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio 2 SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Gremio 2 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

SC Gaucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Gremio 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Gaucho
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Gremio 2
3 : 1
Aimore
03 Oct
SC Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Gremio 2
25 Sept
Gremio 2
1 : 3
SC Gaucho
22 Sept
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Gremio 2
18 Sept
Internacional 2
2 : 1
Gremio 2
Page 1 of 2

SC Gaucho

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
10 Sept
SC Gaucho
2 : 1
GE Gloria
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Jose (PA) 8 5 3 0 15:6 18
2 Ypiranga FC 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
3 EC Juventude 2 8 4 0 4 10:11 12
4 SC Gaucho 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
5 Passo Fundo 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
6 Internacional 2 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
7 Aimore 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
8 Gremio 2 8 3 1 4 7:8 10
9 SC Sao Paulo 8 0 1 7 4:28 1
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)