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Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Atletico Sampaio play Atl. Roraima in the Roraimense. Gremio Atletico Sampaio are favorites here. Recently, Gremio Atletico Sampaio averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Atl. Roraima averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio Atletico Sampaio won 4, Atl. Roraima won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Gremio Atletico Sampaio and 1.31 for Atl. Roraima. This points to a Gremio Atletico Sampaio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
15%
Draws
21%
Atl. Roraima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio picked up more points recently compared to Atl. Roraima.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 18%
Atl. Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio Atl. Roraima
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 2.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.58 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Roraima
6:1
Mar 15, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:8
May 10, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Roraima
6:0
Apr 6, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:6
May 22, 2021 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreto Queiroz R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vanilson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atl. Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 61 / 100
Atl. Roraima 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Atl. Roraima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Atletico Sampaio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gremio Atletico Sampaio & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio Atletico Sampaio attacking → ← attacking Atl. Roraima

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Atletico Sampaio scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Atl. Roraima let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Roraima lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 19
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341