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Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Guapore

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Flamarion Vasconcelos (Canarinho)
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Eric Bahia
75' Event
Mano
81' Event
Vanilson

AI Match Summary

The Copa Norte game between Gremio Atletico Sampaio and Guapore finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28%
Draws
50%
Guapore
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Guapore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guapore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guapore's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 12%
Guapore Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio Guapore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Norte
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Guapore
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanilson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eric Bahia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guapore Compare

Top Goalscorer Mano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 22 / 100
Guapore 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Guapore

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guapore let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gremio Atletico Sampaio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Atletico Sampaio VS Guapore
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nacional-AM (Manaus)541014:113
2Paysandu PA53028:109
3Guapore52124:67
4Trem520311:116
5Independencia Futebol Clube51224:85
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio510410:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguia De Maraba541012:613
2Porto Velho531110:510
3Amazonas52129:67
4Remo52126:67
5Galvez51049:173
6Monte Roraima50239:152