Sport Picks
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Brazil
Copa Norte Estadio Flamarion Vasconcelos (Canarinho), Boa Vista 
Match Events
34'
34'
Giva
50'
50'
Vitinho
55'
55'
Bebeto
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Nacional-AM (Manaus) advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nacional-AM (Manaus) come out ahead of Gremio Atletico Sampaio on wins alone.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nacional-AM (Manaus) here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | Nacional-AM (Manaus) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.83 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Serie D
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3:2
Apr 15, 2026 Copa Norte
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitinho
2 Goals Assists Leader Ryan Luka
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 16 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Nacional-AM (Manaus)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gremio Atletico Sampaio's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Defensive concern: Nacional-AM (Manaus) conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Gremio Atletico Sampaio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gremio Atletico Sampaio VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 Goals Scored 1
1.83 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
(Home) 14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1 Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3 Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 7
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1 Manaus FC
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3 Monte Roraima
04 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 2 Manauara
15 Apr
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 3 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Away) 25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
31 May
Manaus FC
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
