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Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vitor J.
47' Event
Vanilson
48' Event
Vanilson

AI Match Summary

Gremio Atletico Sampaio in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
20%
Draws
40%
Nautico FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio have won more games recently than Nautico FC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Atletico Sampaio taking it.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gremio Atletico Sampaio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio Nautico FC
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.74 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.51 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC
4:1
Mar 22, 2025 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:6
Apr 27, 2024 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanilson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nautico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 86 / 100
Nautico FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Nautico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Atletico Sampaio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nautico FC conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Difficult form: Nautico FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Atletico Sampaio VS Nautico FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Home)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
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Nautico FC

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
08 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4 : 1
Nautico FC
05 Mar
Nautico FC
0 : 1
Monte Roraima
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)