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Gremio Coariense vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Coariense in this Campeonato Amazonense 2005 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Coariense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gremio Coariense
6%
Draws
90%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional-AM (Manaus) lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Coariense.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gremio Coariense Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Coariense Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 15 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2006 Amazonense
Gremio Coariense vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:2
Apr 10, 2005 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Gremio Coariense
2:3
Apr 2, 2005 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Gremio Coariense
0:0
Mar 9, 2005 Amazonense
Gremio Coariense vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Coariense 10 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Coariense Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Coariense found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Gremio Coariense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Coariense760124:1018
2Sao Raimundo AM751115:816
3Princesa do Solimoes750218:715
4Nacional-AM (Manaus)740318:1412
5Cliper73138:1510
6Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)721411:177
7Libermorro70256:172
8Sul America70163:151