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Gremio Juventus vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Thiago Medeiros
32' Event
Thiago Medeiros
37' Event
Dentinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gremio Juventus in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Juventus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gremio Juventus
33%
Draws
27%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense-SC lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Juventus.
  • Win probability leans Gremio Juventus's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gremio Juventus have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Juventus Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Fluminense-SC
3:0
May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Gremio Juventus
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Gremio Juventus
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Medeiros
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Fluminense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 50 / 100
Fluminense-SC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Juventus Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gremio Juventus found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (24 games).

Gremio Juventus went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Fluminense-SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Juventus

(Home)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Hercilio Luz
1 : 0
Gremio Juventus
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)