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Gremio Juventus vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Juventus host Fluminense-SC in the Catarinense 2. Gremio Juventus go into this one as the clear favorite. Fluminense-SC have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Gremio Juventus have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Gremio Juventus slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Gremio Juventus. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gremio Juventus
11%
Draws
9%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense-SC lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Juventus.
  • Win probability leans Gremio Juventus's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Juventus Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 22 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Gremio Juventus
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Gremio Juventus
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 76 / 100
Fluminense-SC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Juventus Fluminense-SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Gremio Juventus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gremio Juventus found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (22 games).

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Fluminense-SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz14102230:932
2CA Metropolitano1492324:1329
3Caravaggio1483340:1627
4Blumenau1473427:1124
5Tubarao1465321:1323
6Fluminense-SC1452713:1717
7Guarani de Palhoca1443713:2215
8Gremio Juventus1442813:2014
9Nacao1435612:2214
10Jaragua-SC1401135:551