Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Maringa vs Joinville

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1979
Gremio Maringa Logo

Gremio Maringa

1 - 0
FT
Joinville Logo

Joinville

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 1979 game between Gremio Maringa and Joinville finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Maringa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gremio Maringa
20%
Draws
34%
Joinville
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio Maringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Joinville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gremio Maringa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie A 1979 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Maringa Joinville
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 1979 Serie A Betano
Gremio Maringa vs Joinville
1:0
Apr 23, 1978 Serie A Betano
Gremio Maringa vs Joinville
1:1
Nov 27, 1977 Serie A Betano
Joinville vs Gremio Maringa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Maringa 67 / 100
Joinville 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Maringa Joinville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Maringa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Joinville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Gremio Maringa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Joinville
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Maringa

(Home)
05 Oct
Gremio Maringa
3 : 0
City London
28 Sept
Gremio Maringa
1 : 1
CA Cambe
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0
Gremio Maringa
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

Joinville

(Away)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coritiba 7 5 1 1 11:3 11
2 Atletico-MG 7 4 2 1 9:5 10
3 Campinense 7 3 2 2 6:4 8
4 Francana 7 3 1 3 7:9 7
5 America RJ 7 2 2 3 14:9 6
6 Brasil de Pelotas 7 2 2 3 8:8 6
7 Colorado PR 7 2 1 4 9:11 5
8 Mixto 7 1 1 5 4:19 3
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 7 5 2 0 16:5 12
2 Sao Bento 7 4 1 2 11:12 9
3 Botafogo RJ 7 3 3 1 9:4 9
4 Joinville 7 3 2 2 8:9 8
5 Figueirense 6 1 4 1 4:4 6
6 Comercial MS 7 2 1 4 4:8 5
7 Gremio Maringa 6 1 1 4 4:9 3
8 ABC 5 0 0 5 3:8 0
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 7 4 3 0 10:2 11
2 Athletico-PR 7 4 2 1 6:2 10
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria 7 4 1 2 10:8 9
4 Internacional de Limeira 7 2 4 1 7:4 8
5 Caldense 7 2 3 2 5:6 7
6 SC Sao Paulo 7 1 3 3 4:10 5
7 Anapolina 7 1 2 4 5:10 4
8 Goytacaz 7 1 0 6 3:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 7 5 2 0 14:2 12
2 Piracicaba 7 5 0 2 15:8 10
3 Gremio 7 5 0 2 9:5 10
4 Londrina 7 4 1 2 15:8 9
5 Santa Cruz 7 3 1 3 8:10 7
6 Bahia 7 2 0 5 4:11 4
7 Nautico 7 1 1 5 6:13 3
8 Gama 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco 7 5 2 0 14:1 12
2 Goias 7 4 3 0 12:3 11
3 America MG 7 2 4 1 6:5 8
4 Ceara 7 2 2 3 9:8 6
5 Várzea Grande EC 7 1 4 2 7:12 6
6 Botafogo PB 7 2 1 4 8:13 5
7 Central SC 7 1 2 4 6:9 4
8 ASA 7 1 2 4 7:18 4
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria 7 5 0 2 12:7 10
2 Uberlandia 7 4 2 1 8:5 10
3 Fluminense 7 3 4 0 18:6 10
4 Vila Nova FC 7 2 5 0 6:3 9
5 Campo Grande 7 2 2 3 10:7 6
6 XV de Jau 7 2 2 3 8:10 6
7 Maranhao 7 2 0 5 3:15 4
8 Itabaiana 7 0 1 6 4:16 1
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 7 5 1 1 19:8 11
2 Comercial 7 4 1 2 8:6 9
3 Uberaba 7 3 2 2 7:5 8
4 CSA 7 3 1 3 5:6 7
5 Dom Bosco 7 3 0 4 8:11 6
6 Americano 7 2 2 3 8:11 6
7 Leonico 7 1 3 3 9:9 5
8 Villa Nova AC 7 2 0 5 6:14 4
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Third stage)