Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Prudente U20 vs Agua Santa U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Azevedo L.
32' Event
Gustavo L.
45' Event
Lucas Teixeira
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Agua Santa U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agua Santa U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gremio Prudente U20
30%
Draws
34%
Agua Santa U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio Prudente U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio Prudente U20 lately — more wins on the board than Agua Santa U20.
  • Model gives Gremio Prudente U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gremio Prudente U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Agua Santa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente U20 Agua Santa U20
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Paulista U20
Gremio Prudente U20 vs Agua Santa U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Prudente U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel Pontes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Agua Santa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azevedo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente U20 35 / 100
Agua Santa U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente U20 Agua Santa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agua Santa U20 conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gremio Prudente U20 scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Gremio Prudente U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Prudente U20 VS Agua Santa U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Prudente U20

(Home)
24 Jul
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 1
XV de Jau U20
10 Jul
Ituano U20
0 : 3
Gremio Prudente U20
07 Jul
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 3
Agua Santa U20
26 Jun
Referencia U20
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente U20
12 Jun
Gremio Prudente U20
3 : 2
Tanabi U20
Page 1 of 6

Agua Santa U20

(Away)
24 Jul
Agua Santa U20
0 : 0
Ituano U20
12 Jul
Agua Santa U20
1 : 0
Porto Football U20
07 Jul
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 3
Agua Santa U20
03 Jul
Osasco Audax U20
2 : 2
Agua Santa U20
26 Jun
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Flamengo SP U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians U20761017:119
2CA Juventus U20751119:816
3Santos U20742113:314
4Ferroviaria U20742112:414
5Portuguesa U20741211:713
6Sertaozinho U2073226:611
7Ponte Preta U2073138:1310
8Sao Bento U20722310:98
9Portuguesa Santista U20722311:148
10Jabaquara U2072143:77
11Itapirense U2072059:176
12America SP U2082065:166
13Uniao Suzano U2071154:174
14Mirassol U2080448:144
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20770024:421
2Desportivo U2085129:516
3Sao Paulo U20743011:215
4Osasco Sporting U20842210:814
5Paulinense U2083329:812
6Piracicaba U2082518:611
7Santo Andre U20722310:108
8Bandeirante U2082247:128
9Aguai U2082249:178
10Sao Caetano U2082159:147
11Novorizontino U2071429:87
12Uniao Sao Joao U2081436:87
13EC Sao Bernardo U2071336:126
14Botafogo SP U2070528:115
15Velo Clube U2080534:145
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20770025:621
2Guarani U20760114:618
3Agua Santa U20843114:715
4Palmeiras U20742112:614
5Sfera U20840417:712
6Gremio Prudente U20732210:911
7Osasco Audax U2083238:911
8Flamengo SP U2083148:1410
9Capivariano U2072419:810
10XV de Jau U2072236:148
11Ituano U2071517:98
12Maua FC U2081346:146
13Tanabi U2081257:155
14Referencia U2071155:134
15Porto Football U2080171:121
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)