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Gremio Prudente vs Juventus-SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Prudente play Juventus-SP in the Paulista A2. Juventus-SP are favorites here. Recently, Gremio Prudente averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Juventus-SP averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio Prudente won 0, Juventus-SP won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Gremio Prudente and 1.00 for Juventus-SP. This points to a Juventus-SP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Gremio Prudente
25%
Draws
60%
Juventus-SP
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Juventus-SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio Prudente picked up more points recently compared to Juventus-SP.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 23%
Juventus-SP Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Juventus-SP
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 17 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.09 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paulista A2
Gremio Prudente vs Juventus-SP
1:2
Feb 19, 2025 Paulista A2
Juventus-SP vs Gremio Prudente
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Prudente Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Kanela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Juventus-SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Maycon Douglas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 18 / 100
Juventus-SP 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Juventus-SP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus-SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Juventus-SP & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio Prudente attacking → ← attacking Juventus-SP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Prudente scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Juventus-SP let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gremio Prudente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Juventus-SP lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 48
1.20 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Agua Santa15101424:1431
2Ferroviaria1584322:1228
3Ituano1584322:1428
4Sao Jose EC1583421:1327
5Sertaozinho1574419:1925
6Votuporanguense1573516:1724
7Juventus-SP1565422:2023
8Piracicaba1564516:1522
9Osasco Sporting1557322:1822
10Santo Andre1553716:2218
11Taubate1538422:2317
12Internacional de Limeira1544715:1816
13Linense1527612:1813
14Monte Azul1526717:2212
15Gremio Prudente1519512:1612
16Sao Bento1512128:255