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Gremio Prudente vs Linense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estadio Paulo Constantino, Presidente Prudente
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 5-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Linense have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Gremio Prudente have conceded 1 and scored 1.09. Past meetings favor Gremio Prudente slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 5:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward Gremio Prudente. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gremio Prudente
15%
Draws
50%
Linense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio Prudente have won more games recently than Linense.
  • Win probability leans Linense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Gremio Prudente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio Prudente, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 20%
Linense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Linense
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 14 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Copa Paulista
Linense vs Gremio Prudente
5:2
Aug 3, 2026 Copa Paulista
Gremio Prudente vs Linense
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Paulista A2
Linense vs Gremio Prudente
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Gremio Prudente vs Linense
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Copa Paulista
Linense vs Gremio Prudente
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 24 / 100
Linense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Linense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gremio Prudente scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Linense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Gremio Prudente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Prudente VS Linense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Prudente

(Home)
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2
Gremio Prudente
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Linense

(Away)
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2
Gremio Prudente
03 Aug
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Linense
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Quarter-finals
Noroeste -
Primavera EC -
Juventus-SP -
Uniao Sao Joao -
Sao Jose EC -
Comercial -
Linense -
Gremio Prudente -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -