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Gremio Prudente vs Uniao Sao Joao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estadio Paulo Constantino, Presidente Prudente
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Gabriel Santos
46'
Sub
Arenales K. In: Wanderson
Out: Arenales K.
59'
Sub
Gomes W. In: de Araujo W.
Out: Gomes W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gremio Prudente
35%
Draws
32%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Prudente haven't matched Uniao Sao Joao's recent run of results.
  • Gremio Prudente are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Uniao Sao Joao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio Prudente, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.09 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Gremio Prudente
2:1
Sep 26, 2026 Copa Paulista
Gremio Prudente vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Paulista A3
Gremio Prudente vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 68 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Uniao Sao Joao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Prudente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gremio Prudente scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Uniao Sao Joao conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gremio Prudente remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Prudente VS Uniao Sao Joao
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Prudente

(Home)
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente
15 Sept
Gremio Prudente
2 : 2
Linense
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
Page 1 of 7

Uniao Sao Joao

(Away)
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Linense 3
Gremio Prudente 4
Juventus-SP 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Semi-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Noroeste 1
Gremio Prudente 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Final
Sao Jose EC -
Uniao Sao Joao -