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Gremio Prudente vs Uniao Suzano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Prudente play Uniao Suzano in the Paulista A3 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gremio Prudente averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Uniao Suzano averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio Prudente won 2, Uniao Suzano won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Gremio Prudente and 0.81 for Uniao Suzano. This points to a Gremio Prudente double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gremio Prudente
23%
Draws
27%
Uniao Suzano
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Gremio Prudente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Gremio Prudente picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Suzano.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 26%
Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Uniao Suzano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 15 4
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2024 Paulista A3
Gremio Prudente vs Uniao Suzano
2:1
Apr 12, 2023 Paulista A3
Uniao Suzano vs Gremio Prudente
3:1
Mar 29, 2023 Paulista A3
Gremio Prudente vs Uniao Suzano
3:1
Mar 18, 2023 Paulista A3
Uniao Suzano vs Gremio Prudente
2:0
Oct 23, 2021 Paulista A4
Uniao Suzano vs Gremio Prudente
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 50 / 100
Uniao Suzano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Uniao Suzano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gremio Prudente or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio Prudente attacking → ← attacking Uniao Suzano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Prudente scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Uniao Suzano let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gremio Prudente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Suzano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 22
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capivariano641111:813
2EC Sao Bernardo63129:410
3Marilia62135:67
4Matonense61145:124
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gremio Prudente62318:79
2Sao Jose EC62226:68
3Desportivo62225:58
4Uniao Suzano62137:87