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Gremio U17 vs Atletico-MG U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lucca
35' Event
Roger
39' Event
Joao Pedro B. G.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U17 2025 game between Gremio U17 and Atletico-MG U17 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gremio U17
39%
Draws
30%
Atletico-MG U17
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico-MG U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Atletico-MG U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gremio U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio U17 Atletico-MG U17
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 16 19
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Atletico-MG U17 vs Gremio U17
4:0
Oct 13, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Gremio U17 vs Atletico-MG U17
4:1
May 29, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Atletico-MG U17 vs Gremio U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucca
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roger
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico-MG U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallysson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio U17 32 / 100
Atletico-MG U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio U17 Atletico-MG U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG U17 let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Gremio U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico-MG U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio U17 VS Atletico-MG U17
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U173
Vasco U171
Bragantino U172
Gremio U174
Athletico-PR U174
Fluminense U173
Flamengo RJ U171
Atletico-MG U172
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U171
Gremio U172
Athletico-PR U172
Atletico-MG U173
Final
Gremio U174
Atletico-MG U175