Sport Picks

Gremio vs Atletico-MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Copa do Brasil Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Gremio

2 - 0

Atletico-MG

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Carlos Vinicius

Assist: Weverton

31'

Cuello T.

46'

Sub

Vitor Hugo In: Minda A.

Out: Vitor Hugo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gremio in this Copa do Brasil tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Gremio

15%

Draws

20%

Atletico-MG

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Atletico-MG have won more games recently than Gremio.
Gremio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Atletico-MG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Gremio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Gremio Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gremio	Atletico-MG
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	14
Draws	7	8
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	1.36	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.36	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Gremio

3:0

Feb 26, 2026 Serie A

Gremio vs Atletico-MG

2:1

Aug 17, 2025 Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Gremio

1:3

Mar 29, 2025 Serie A

Gremio vs Atletico-MG

2:1

Oct 9, 2024 Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Gremio

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Vinicius

1 Goals

Assists Leader Noriega E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 95 / 100

Atletico-MG 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gremio Atletico-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Gremio scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Atletico-MG has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Gremio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS Atletico-MG

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)

01 Nov

Gremio

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

30 Oct

Gremio

2 : 0

Athletico-PR

26 Oct

Coritiba

0 : 1

Gremio

18 Oct

Gremio

2 : 4

Cruzeiro

11 Oct

Gremio

1 : 1

Internacional

Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG

(Away)

01 Nov

Gremio

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

29 Oct

Atletico-MG

0 : 1

Cruzeiro

26 Oct

Flamengo RJ

3 : 2

Atletico-MG

21 Oct

Montevideo City

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

17 Oct

Atletico-MG

1 : 0

Coritiba

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Sampaio Correa FE 1

Desportiva Ferroviaria 2

TBD -

Sport Recife -

Anapolis -

TBD -

Cianorte -

Rio Branco ES -

TBD -

Athletic Club -

Ypiranga FC -

TBD -

Ji-Parana 2

Pantanal 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 1

Independente AP 0

TBD -

Volta Redonda -

America RN -

TBD -

Gremio Atletico Sampaio -

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG -

TBD -

America de Propria 1

Tirol 2

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama AC 1

Velo Clube 2

TBD -

Vila Nova FC -

ASA -

TBD -

Operario MS -

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense -

TBD -

Oratorio -

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista -

TBD -

Maringa FC -

Retro -

TBD -

Uberlandia -

Gama 2

Monte Roraima 0

TBD -

Goias -

Trem -

TBD -

Fluminense-PI -

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville -

TBD -

CSA -

Sao Bernardo -

TBD -

Alagoinhas -

Sao Luiz -

TBD -

Maranhao -

Ceara -

TBD -

Araguaina 0

Primavera EC 3

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso -

TBD -

Tocantinopolis -

EC Juventude -

TBD -

Galvez 1

Guapore 2

Bare 0

Madureira 3

TBD -

ABC -

Aguia De Maraba -

TBD -

Independencia Futebol Clube -

Portuguesa -

TBD -

AE Altos -

Avai -

TBD -

Porto Vitoria -

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ -

TBD -

Maracana -

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC -

TBD -

Manaus FC -

Londrina -

TBD -

SC Penedense -

Betim FC 1

Piaui 0

TBD -

Operario-PR -

Juazeirense -

TBD -

Capital -

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG -

TBD -

Porto Velho -

Atletico GO -

TBD -

Primavera AC 2

Bragantino PA 1

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul -

TBD -

Guarany de Bage -

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

IAPE 0

TBD -

Cuiaba -

Ceilandia -

TBD -

Jacuipense -

Mixto -

TBD -

Botafogo PB -

Novorizontino -

TBD -

Nacional-AM (Manaus) -

Castanhal -

TBD -

Guarani -

Nova Iguacu -

TBD -

Lagarto -

Manauara -

TBD -

Itabaiana -

Fortaleza -

TBD -

Maguary 1

Laguna RN 0

Santa Cruz -

TBD -

Sousa -

CRB -

TBD -

Porto-BA 2

Serra Branca 1

Imperatriz -

TBD -

Amazonas -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Azuriz -

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/128-finals

Desportiva Ferroviaria 0

Sport Recife 1

Anapolis 3

Cianorte 1

Rio Branco ES 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 2

Ji-Parana 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 2

Volta Redonda 4

America RN 3

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG 2

Tirol 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Velo Clube 0

Vila Nova FC 1

ASA 1

Operario MS 2

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense 2

Oratorio 1

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista 2

Maringa FC 3

Retro 1

Uberlandia 2

Gama 2

Goias 3

Trem 0

Fluminense-PI 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 1

CSA 0

Sao Bernardo 2

Alagoinhas 0

Sao Luiz 0

Maranhao 1

Ceara 2

Primavera EC 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 4

Tocantinopolis 1

EC Juventude 5

Guapore 0

Madureira 1

ABC 0

Aguia De Maraba 2

Independencia Futebol Clube 0

Portuguesa 5

AE Altos 1

Avai 3

Porto Vitoria 0

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ 1

Maracana 0

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC 1

Manaus FC 2

Londrina 1

SC Penedense 0

Betim FC 0

Operario-PR 2

Juazeirense 1

Capital 2

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG 1

Porto Velho 2

Atletico GO 1

Primavera AC 0

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul 0

Guarany de Bage 1

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

Cuiaba 1

Ceilandia 1

Jacuipense 2

Mixto 2

Botafogo PB 1

Novorizontino 4

Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0

Castanhal 2

Guarani 1

Nova Iguacu 2

Lagarto 1

Manauara 3

Itabaiana 1

Fortaleza 4

Maguary 3

Santa Cruz 0

Sousa 1

CRB 6

Porto-BA 0

Imperatriz 0

Amazonas 3

Figueirense 1

Azuriz 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/64-finals

Sport Recife 2

Anapolis 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 1

America RN 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

America MG 0

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 2

Operario MS 1

Confianca 2

Tombense 0

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 3

Uberlandia 2

Goias 3

Fluminense-PI 0

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 0

Sao Bernardo 1

Maranhao 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 1

EC Juventude 2

Madureira 0

Aguia De Maraba 1

Portuguesa 2

Avai 1

Paysandu PA 3

Portuguesa RJ 1

TBD -

Vasco -

Manaus FC 0

Londrina 1

Operario-PR 2

Capital 0

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Porto Velho 0

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 1

Guarany de Bage 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 0

Jacuipense 1

Mixto 0

Novorizontino 3

Castanhal 0

Nova Iguacu 4

Manauara 0

Fortaleza 1

Sousa 0

CRB 2

Amazonas 0

Figueirense 1

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/32-finals

Sport Recife 1

Athletic Club 3

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 0

Confianca 1

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 0

Goias 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Sao Bernardo 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

EC Juventude 3

Aguia De Maraba 0

Portuguesa 2

Paysandu PA 3

TBD -

Vasco -

Londrina 0

Operario-PR 1

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Jacuipense 1

Novorizontino 0

Nova Iguacu 0

Fortaleza 1

CRB 1

Figueirense 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/16-finals

Athletic Club 3

Internacional 5

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0

Corinthians 2

Bragantino 2

Mirassol 3

Gremio 5

Confianca 0

Botafogo RJ 1

Chapecoense-SC 2

Goias 2

Cruzeiro 3

Atletico-MG 4

Ceara 3

Sao Paulo 2

EC Juventude 3

Paysandu PA 2

Vasco 4

Operario-PR 1

Fluminense 2

Athletico-PR 1

Atletico GO 0

Flamengo RJ 2

Vitoria 3

Palmeiras 7

Jacuipense 1

Fortaleza 2

CRB 1

Santos 2

Coritiba 0

Bahia 2

Remo 5

1/8-finals

Internacional 3

Corinthians 2

Mirassol 1

Gremio 2

Chapecoense-SC 0

Cruzeiro 2

Atletico-MG 1

EC Juventude 0

Vasco 3

Fluminense 1

Athletico-PR 2

Vitoria 4

Palmeiras 5

Fortaleza 3

Santos 1

Remo 0

Quarter-finals

Internacional 1

Gremio 3

Cruzeiro 2

Atletico-MG 3

Vasco 3

Vitoria 0

Palmeiras 3

Santos 0

Semi-finals

Gremio 2

Atletico-MG 0

Vasco 0

Palmeiras 1

Final

TBD -

Gremio vs Atletico-MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Gremio

Atletico-MG

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Gremio Compare

Atletico-MG Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

Atletico-MG

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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