Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Asprilla D.
Assist: Matheus R.
46'
46'
Sub
Dodi In: Villasanti M.
Out: Dodi
46'
46'
Sub
Nardoni J. In: Matheus Nascimento
Out: Nardoni J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolivar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bolivar come out ahead of Gremio on wins alone.
- Model gives Bolivar a 51% chance of winning this.
- Bolivar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gremio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gremio Clean Sheet 10%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio | Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Gremio vs Bolivar
0:1
Jul 23, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Bolivar vs Gremio
3:2
Apr 10, 2003 Copa Libertadores
Bolivar vs Gremio
1:0
Mar 13, 2003 Copa Libertadores
Gremio vs Bolivar
1:0
May 31, 1983 Copa Libertadores
Gremio vs Bolivar
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gremio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Bolivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Asprilla D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gremio 22 / 100
Bolivar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gremio Bolivar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bolivar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gremio's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Bolivar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Gremio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gremio VS Bolivar
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gremio
(Home) 20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0 Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1 Internacional
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1 Internacional
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
08 Aug
Gremio
2 : 1 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 4
Bolivar
(Away) 20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Bolivar
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Bolivar
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
02 Sept
GV San Jose
0 : 1 Bolivar
23 Aug
Real Oruro
2 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
