Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Pereira H.
13'
13'
Guga
21'
21'
Sub
Guilherme Arana In: Rene
Out: Guilherme Arana
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Gremio and Fluminense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fluminense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gremio's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Fluminense have produced (1.63).
- Win probability leans Fluminense's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Gremio Clean Sheet 11%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Fluminense
1:1
Jan 28, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Gremio
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Fluminense
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Gremio
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Gremio
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gremio Compare
Top Goalscorer Diego Caito
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Fluminense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gremio 10 / 100
Fluminense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gremio Fluminense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fluminense let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Gremio scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Gremio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gremio VS Fluminense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gremio
(Home) 23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2 Gremio
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1 Gremio
12 Jul
Gremio
3 : 1 Cruzeiro
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
27 Jun
FC Cascavel
1 : 2 Gremio
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Gremio
3 : 1 Cruzeiro
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 May
Gremio
1 : 3 Corinthians
26 May
Gremio
2 : 2 Montevideo City
23 May
Gremio
3 : 2 Santos
Page 1 of 3
Fluminense
(Away) 17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1 Bragantino
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1 Nova Iguacu
31 May
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Fluminense
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1 Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Fluminense
23 May
Mirassol
1 : 0 Fluminense
07 May
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1 Fluminense
03 May
Internacional
2 : 0 Fluminense
30 Apr
Bolivar
2 : 0 Fluminense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 33:14 | 44 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:16 | 37 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 21:19 | 27 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | 27 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 33:32 | 26 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | 26 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | 26 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:22 | 25 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | 25 |
| 14 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 15 | Internacional | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 19 | Remo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
