Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio vs Mirassol

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Reinaldo
36'
Denilson
37' Event
Pavon C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gremio
35%
Draws
40%
Mirassol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio lately — more wins on the board than Mirassol.
  • Model gives Gremio a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Gremio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mirassol, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gremio Clean Sheet 17%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Mirassol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Gremio vs Mirassol
1:0
Aug 2, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Mirassol vs Gremio
1:1
Jul 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Gremio
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Mirassol
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Gremio
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavon C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 41 / 100
Mirassol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gremio scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gremio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS Mirassol
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)
05 Aug
Gremio
1 : 0
Mirassol
02 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1
Gremio
30 Jul
Gremio
0 : 1
Bolivar
26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1
Fluminense
23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

Mirassol

(Away)
05 Aug
Gremio
1 : 0
Mirassol
02 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1
Gremio
29 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1
Remo
25 Jul
Vasco
1 : 1
Mirassol
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Portuguesa -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
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Manaus FC -
Londrina -
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SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
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Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
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Capital -
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Fluminense -
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
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Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
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Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
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Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
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Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
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Volta Redonda -
America RN -
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG -
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America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
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Operario MS -
Confianca -
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Tombense -
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Oratorio -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG -
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Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
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Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
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SER Caxias do Sul -
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Guarany de Bage -
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Joinville -
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CSA -
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Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
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Maranhao -
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Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
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Tuna Luso -
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Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
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Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
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ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
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Independencia Futebol Clube -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
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Maringa FC -
Retro -
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Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
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Goias -
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Fluminense-PI -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
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Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
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Jacuipense -
Mixto -
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Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
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Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
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Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
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Lagarto -
Manauara -
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Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
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Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
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Sousa -
CRB -
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Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
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Amazonas -
Figueirense -
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Azuriz -
1/128-finals
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
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Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
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Fluminense -
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG 2
Tirol 1
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
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Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
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Cruzeiro -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
1/64-finals
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
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TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
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Fluminense -
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
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TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Athletico-PR -
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Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
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Cruzeiro -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
1/32-finals
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
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Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Athletico-PR -
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Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Atletico-MG -
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Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
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EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
1/16-finals
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
1/8-finals
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Santos 1
Remo 0
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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