Sport Picks

Gremio vs Palestino Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Sudamericana Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Gremio

2 - 0

Palestino

Our Tip

Match Events

Fernandez R.

Braithwaite M.

38'

Fernandez J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Gremio

15%

Draws

59%

Palestino

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Palestino carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Gremio's way, sitting at 36%.
Palestino arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Gremio, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Gremio Clean Sheet 17%

Palestino Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gremio	Palestino
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.3	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.16	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Gremio vs Palestino

2:0

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Palestino vs Gremio

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Braithwaite M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pavon C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.89

Avg xA / game 0.58

Palestino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 36 / 100

Palestino 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gremio Palestino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Palestino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Gremio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS Palestino

0.88 Goals Scored 1.86

1 Goals Conceded 1.43

50% Over 1.5 86%

38% Over 2.5 71%

13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)

20 Sept

Gremio

0 : 0

Palmeiras

16 Sept

Botafogo RJ

3 : 2

Gremio

12 Sept

Gremio

1 : 2

Vasco

07 Sept

Vitoria

1 : 0

Gremio

03 Sept

Gremio

3 : 1

Internacional

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Palestino

(Away)

12 Sept

Palestino

2 : 3

U. Catolica

06 Sept

Palestino

2 : 1

U. De Concepcion

28 Aug

Cobresal

2 : 0

Palestino

23 Aug

O Higgins

0 : 1

Palestino

18 Aug

Palestino

5 : 1

Huachipato

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