Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Giay A.
41'
41'
Noriega E.
46'
46'
Sub
Noriega E. In: Danilo Barbosa
Out: Noriega E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palmeiras
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Gremio haven't matched Palmeiras's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gremio Clean Sheet 16%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Palmeiras
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Gremio
2:1
Nov 26, 2025 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Palmeiras
3:2
Jul 27, 2025 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Gremio
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Gremio
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gremio 31 / 100
Palmeiras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gremio Palmeiras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gremio scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Palmeiras has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.
Recent resilience: Gremio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gremio VS Palmeiras
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gremio
(Home) 20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0 Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1 Internacional
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1 Internacional
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
08 Aug
Gremio
2 : 1 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 4
Palmeiras
(Away) 20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3 Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0 LDU Quito
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3 Palmeiras
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
03 Sept
Santos
0 : 0 Palmeiras
30 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
