Sport Picks
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Brasiliense U20 
AI Match Summary
Gremio Valparaiso U20 in this Brasiliense U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Valparaiso U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gremio Valparaiso U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ceilandia U20.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceilandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio Valparaiso U20 | Ceilandia U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
4:2
May 17, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
4:0
Jul 10, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
2:1
Jul 7, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gremio Valparaiso U20 29 / 100
Ceilandia U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Ceilandia U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gremio Valparaiso U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ceilandia U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Gremio Valparaiso U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Gremio Valparaiso U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Ceilandia U20
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Gremio Valparaiso U20
(Home) 26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2 Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2 Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4 Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
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26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2 Ceilandia U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2 Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4 Santa Maria U20
20 Jun
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 3 Real Brasilia U20
30 May
Gremio Valparaiso U20
5 : 0 Ceilandense U20
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Ceilandia U20
(Away) 26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2 Ceilandia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1 Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandia U20
5 : 0 Luziania U20
28 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 2 Ceilandia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandia U20
1 : 6 Canaa U20
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26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2 Ceilandia U20
28 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 2 Ceilandia U20
13 Jun
Real Brasilia U20
15 : 2 Ceilandia U20
30 May
Cruzeiro DF U20
2 : 1 Ceilandia U20
24 May
Paranoa U20
4 : 3 Ceilandia U20
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense U20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 45:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Capital DF U20 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 54:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Samambaia U20 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Sobradinho U20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 40:5 | 20 |
| 5 | Legiao U20 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Candango U20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:30 | 10 |
| 7 | Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:30 | 10 |
| 8 | Gama U20 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 21:23 | 9 |
| 9 | Brazlandia U20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:31 | 8 |
| 10 | Samambaense U20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5:46 | 6 |
| 11 | ARUC U20 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:60 | 1 |
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canaa U20 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 48:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Real Brasilia U20 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 48:5 | 27 |
| 3 | Planaltina U20 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 22 |
| 4 | Santa Maria U20 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26:18 | 17 |
| 5 | Gremio Valparaiso U20 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20:26 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasilia U20 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | 12 |
| 7 | Paranoa U20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:28 | 10 |
| 8 | Ceilandia U20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21:38 | 8 |
| 9 | Ceilandense U20 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6:25 | 7 |
| 10 | Cruzeiro DF U20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:27 | 6 |
| 11 | Luziania U20 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:43 | 2 |
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)
