Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Real Brasilia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 game between Gremio Valparaiso U20 and Real Brasilia U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Brasilia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
6%
Draws
90%
Real Brasilia U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Brasilia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Brasilia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Brasilia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Brasilia U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Real Brasilia U20
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 15 26
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.63 4.38
Goals Conceded 2.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Real Brasilia U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 / 100
Real Brasilia U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Real Brasilia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Valparaiso U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Real Brasilia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 35% of 40 matches.

Recent resilience: Gremio Valparaiso U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Real Brasilia U20
1.63 Goals Scored 4.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Page 1 of 6

Real Brasilia U20

(Away)
01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0
Real Brasilia U20
26 Jul
Ceilandense U20
0 : 8
Real Brasilia U20
18 Jul
Luziania U20
0 : 5
Real Brasilia U20
11 Jul
Real Brasilia U20
2 : 0
Planaltina U20
04 Jul
Paranoa U20
0 : 4
Real Brasilia U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)