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Gremio Valparaiso vs Canaa EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso Logo

Gremio Valparaiso

0 - 3
FT
Canaa EC Logo

Canaa EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Canaa EC in this Brasiliense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canaa EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gremio Valparaiso
35%
Draws
41%
Canaa EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Canaa EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Canaa EC have won more games recently than Gremio Valparaiso.
  • Model gives Gremio Valparaiso a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gremio Valparaiso Clean Sheet 13%
Canaa EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso Canaa EC
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Canaa EC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso 35 / 100
Canaa EC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso Canaa EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canaa EC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gremio Valparaiso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gremio Valparaiso's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso VS Canaa EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso

(Home)
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
30 Aug
Planaltina
1 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
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Canaa EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Candango
0 : 4
Canaa EC
26 Sept
Canaa EC
2 : 1
Luziania
20 Sept
Canaa EC
1 : 0
Planaltina
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 5 4 0 1 9:1 12
2 Canaa EC 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Legiao 5 2 3 0 9:6 9
4 Planaltina 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
5 Gremio Valparaiso 5 1 3 1 11:7 6
6 Luziania 5 1 1 3 3:11 4
7 Candango 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
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