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Gremio W vs Brasil de Farroupilha W

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Maria Dias

AI Match Summary

Gremio W host Brasil de Farroupilha W in the Gaucho Women 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Gremio W at 1.25 goals for, 1.13 against; Brasil de Farroupilha W at 0.86 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor Gremio W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.05 vs 0.99, favoring Gremio W. Gremio W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gremio W
22%
Draws
18%
Brasil de Farroupilha W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gremio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Brasil de Farroupilha W.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Gremio W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Gaucho Women 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Farroupilha W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio W Brasil de Farroupilha W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Gaucho Women
Gremio W vs Brasil de Farroupilha W
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Gaucho Women
Brasil de Farroupilha W vs Gremio W
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Gaucho Women
Brasil de Farroupilha W vs Gremio W
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Gaucho Women
Gremio W vs Brasil de Farroupilha W
4:0
Nov 15, 2024 Gaucho Women
Gremio W vs Brasil de Farroupilha W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maria Dias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Brasil de Farroupilha W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio W 68 / 100
Brasil de Farroupilha W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio W Brasil de Farroupilha W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Brasil de Farroupilha W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gremio W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brasil de Farroupilha W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio W VS Brasil de Farroupilha W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gremio W1
Brasil de Farroupilha W0
Internacional W2
EC Juventude W3
Final
Gremio W5
EC Juventude W1
Internacional W6
Brasil de Farroupilha W0