Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Gremio W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Gremio W come out ahead of Penarol W on wins alone.
- Model gives Gremio W a 85% chance of winning this.
- Gremio W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gremio W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio W | Penarol W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 16 |
| Wins | 15 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gremio W Compare
Penarol W Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Penarol W conceded in 81% of 16 recent games.
Difficult form: Penarol W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Gremio W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.