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Gremio W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Braga A.
50'
Mylena Carioca
54'
Pini

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gremio W
30%
Draws
43%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gremio W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sao Paulo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Gremio W
2:0
Aug 29, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Sao Paulo W
0:0
Apr 20, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Gremio W
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
Aug 29, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Gremio W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio W 95 / 100
Sao Paulo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Gremio W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Sao Paulo W conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio W VS Sao Paulo W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio W

(Home)
03 Oct
Gremio W
0 : 0
Internacional W
27 Sept
Gremio W
13 : 0
Forquetense W
20 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha W
0 : 3
Gremio W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
29 Aug
Gremio W
0 : 0
Sao Paulo W
Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 3
Corinthians W 2