Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio W vs Vitoria W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Francisco Novelletto Neto
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio W play Vitoria W in the Brasileiro Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gremio W averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Vitoria W averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio W won 2, Vitoria W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Gremio W and 0.75 for Vitoria W. This points to a Gremio W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gremio W
15%
Draws
34%
Vitoria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Gremio W picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 27%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio W Vitoria W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.27 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Vitoria W
3:0
Mar 15, 2020 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Vitoria W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vitoria W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio W 51 / 100
Vitoria W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio W Vitoria W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gremio W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio W attacking → ← attacking Vitoria W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vitoria W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gremio W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 40
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16America Mineiro W121386:256
17Botafogo RJ W111287:225
18Vitoria W110387:283