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Grenada vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

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Friendly International 2024 Lauriston Mini Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Grenada play Saint Vincent and the Grenadines in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grenada averaged 1.28 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Grenada won 1, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Grenada and 1.81 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. This points to a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Grenada
25%
Draws
45%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Grenada picked up more points recently compared to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Grenada Clean Sheet 11%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Grenada
1:1
Mar 6, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Grenada
1:1
May 26, 2024 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
0:3
Oct 1, 2022 Friendly International
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Grenada
1:5
Sep 24, 2022 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Mingot K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leigertwood G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada 29 / 100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grenada attacking → ← attacking Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenada scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Grenada went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 47
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13