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Grenada W vs Bahamas W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fleming-Thompson N.
42' Event
Edey J.
47' Event
Fullerton M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Grenada W
15%
Draws
15%
Bahamas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenada W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Grenada W have won more games recently than Bahamas W.
  • Win probability leans Grenada W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Grenada W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grenada W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Grenada W Clean Sheet 10%
Bahamas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada W Bahamas W
Matches Played 23 4
Wins 5 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.22 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.3 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Grenada W vs Bahamas W
4:1
Sep 20, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Bahamas W vs Grenada W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fleming-Thompson N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fullerton M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bahamas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Edey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada W 83 / 100
Bahamas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada W Bahamas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grenada W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Bahamas W let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Bahamas W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Grenada W scored in 52% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grenada W VS Bahamas W
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
5.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenada W

(Home)
18 Apr
Bermuda W
5 : 3
Grenada W
14 Apr
Grenada W
3 : 1
Cayman Islands W
01 Mar
Guatemala W
6 : 0
Grenada W
29 Nov
Grenada W
1 : 2
Costa Rica W
03 Dec
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 2
Grenada W
Page 1 of 5

Bahamas W

(Away)
29 Nov
Bahamas W
1 : 2
United States Virgin Islands W
29 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 0
Bahamas W
24 Sept
Grenada W
4 : 1
Bahamas W
20 Sept
Bahamas W
1 : 6
Grenada W