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Grenades vs Old Road

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League game between Grenades and Old Road finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grenades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Grenades
15%
Draws
18%
Old Road
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Old Road haven't matched Grenades's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Grenades taking it.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Grenades here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Grenades Clean Sheet 10%
Old Road Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenades Old Road
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 25 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.72 3.19
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Grenades
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Old Road
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Old Road
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Grenades
1:2
Dec 10, 2022 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Grenades
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenades 47 / 100
Old Road 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenades Old Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grenades Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenades found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Old Road's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Grenades remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Grenades VS Old Road
3.63 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenades

(Home)
10 May
Grenades
3 : 1
All Saints United
03 May
Grenades
1 : 0
Pigotts Bullets
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Grenades
4 : 0
Attacking Saints
14 Apr
Grenades
3 : 1
Garden Stars
Page 1 of 7

Old Road

(Away)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 22 19 2 1 65:18 59
2 All Saints United 22 18 2 2 72:19 56
3 Aston Villa 22 14 2 6 69:43 44
4 Pigotts Bullets 22 12 3 7 40:25 39
5 Old Road 22 10 6 6 75:37 36
6 Potters FC 22 9 6 7 41:36 33
7 Garden Stars 22 8 7 7 48:40 31
8 Green City 22 6 5 11 35:41 23
9 Attacking Saints 22 7 2 13 37:49 23
10 John Hughes 22 5 1 16 17:68 16
11 Ottos Rangers 22 3 2 17 24:67 11
12 Jennings Utd 22 2 0 20 10:90 6
Promotion - ABFA Premier League (Play Offs)