Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Iliria in this Swiss Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenchen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Grenchen have won more games recently than Iliria.
- Model gives Iliria a 42% chance of winning this.
- Grenchen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Iliria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Grenchen Clean Sheet 10%
Iliria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grenchen | Iliria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 6 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 25 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 5.17 | 3.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.08 | 3.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2016 Swiss Cup
Grenchen vs Iliria
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grenchen 14 / 100
Iliria 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grenchen Iliria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Iliria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Iliria conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Iliria has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Grenchen scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Grenchen VS Iliria
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
5.88 Goals Conceded 3.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Grenchen
(Home) 16 Aug
Courrendlin-Courroux
0 : 1 Grenchen
11 Feb
Breitenrain
5 : 2 Grenchen
13 Aug
Grenchen
0 : 2 Iliria
30 May
FC Bern
5 : 0 Grenchen
23 May
Grenchen
0 : 10 Cham
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Grenchen
0 : 2 Iliria
23 May
Grenchen
0 : 10 Cham
09 May
Grenchen
1 : 2 Solothurn
25 Apr
Grenchen
0 : 10 Munsingen
11 Apr
Grenchen
1 : 8 Zug
Page 1 of 3
Iliria
(Away) 19 Aug
Iliria
0 : 2 La Chaux-De-Fonds
19 Sept
Iliria
1 : 7 Young Boys
14 Aug
Escholzmatt-Marbach
3 : 4 Iliria
17 Aug
Iliria
1 : 6 Lausanne
18 Sept
Iliria
1 : 4 Schaffhausen
Page 1 of 2
14 Aug
Escholzmatt-Marbach
3 : 4 Iliria
13 Aug
Grenchen
0 : 2 Iliria
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sion 6
Romontois 1
Arbedo 0
Xamax 5
Iliria 2
Grenchen 0
La Sarraz-Eclepens 0
Schaffhausen 3
Bruhl SG 5
Wabern 0
Munsingen 1
SC Binningen 2
Azzurri Lausanne 3
Genolier-Begnins 1
Thun 1
Kriens 2
Aarau 5
Zollbruck 0
Servette 1
Breitenrain 3
Gunzwil 2
Vernier 0
Moutier 0
Lugano 3
Koniz 2
Seefeld 1
Lancy 1
Lausanne 2
FC Ticino 4
Uzwil 0
Oberwallis Naters 1
Luzern 4
Winterthur 4
Yverdon 1
Wil 2
Lausanne Ouchy 4
Wohlen 3
Meyrin 1
Dulliken 0
Chiasso 3
Grasshoppers 2
Old Boys 0
Rumlang 2
Seuzach 5
FC Bazenheid 2
Red Star Zurich 1
Veltheim 0
Young Boys 6
Zurich 2
La Chaux-De-Fonds 0
Conthey 1
Bellinzona 4
Le Mont 14
Donneloye 0
Black Stars 2
St. Gallen 3
Tuggen 6
Klingnau 0
Cham 0
Calcio Kreuzlingen 1
Zug 2
Bubendorf 1
Rapperswil-Jona 0
Basel 1
1/16-finals
Sion 4
Xamax 3
Iliria 1
Schaffhausen 4
Bruhl SG 2
SC Binningen 1
Azzurri Lausanne 2
Kriens 3
Aarau 1
Breitenrain 0
Gunzwil 1
Lugano 4
Koniz 3
Lausanne 1
FC Ticino 0
Luzern 3
Winterthur 3
Lausanne Ouchy 0
Wohlen 0
Chiasso 1
Grasshoppers 4
Seuzach 1
FC Bazenheid 1
Young Boys 7
Zurich 2
Bellinzona 0
Le Mont 0
St. Gallen 1
Tuggen 2
Calcio Kreuzlingen 1
Zug 0
Basel 1
1/8-finals
Sion 5
Schaffhausen 2
Bruhl SG 3
Kriens 5
Aarau 2
Lugano 0
Koniz 1
Luzern 2
Winterthur 2
Chiasso 1
Grasshoppers 0
Young Boys 5
Zurich 2
St. Gallen 1
Tuggen 1
Basel 4
Quarter-finals
Sion 5
Kriens 1
Aarau 3
Luzern 5
Winterthur 3
Young Boys 2
Zurich 1
Basel 3
Semi-finals
Sion 1
Luzern 0
Winterthur 1
Basel 3
Final
Sion 0
Basel 3
