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Grenoble vs Le Mans

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade des Alpes, Grenoble
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Voyer H.
35' Event
Benet J.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Colas E.
Assist: Rabillard A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Grenoble
35%
Draws
28%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grenoble

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Grenoble haven't matched Le Mans's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 11%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble Le Mans
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Le Mans
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Grenoble
1:0
Apr 10, 2020 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Le Mans
0:0
Nov 8, 2019 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Grenoble
0:0
Feb 12, 2011 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Grenoble
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenoble Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Colas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble 30 / 100
Le Mans 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Grenoble scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Grenoble remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble VS Le Mans
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble

(Home)
04 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 2
Annecy
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
14 Aug
Grenoble
0 : 0
Metz
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
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Le Mans

(Away)
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1
Le Havre
08 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Le Mans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)