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Grenoble vs Le Mans

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade des Alpes, Grenoble
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Voyer H.
35' Event
Benet J.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Colas E.
Assist: Rabillard A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Grenoble
28%
Draws
22%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Grenoble

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Grenoble haven't matched Le Mans's recent run of results.
  • Grenoble are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 18%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble Le Mans
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 15
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Le Mans
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Grenoble
1:0
Apr 10, 2020 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Le Mans
0:0
Nov 8, 2019 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Grenoble
0:0
Feb 12, 2011 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Grenoble
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenoble Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Colas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble 49 / 100
Le Mans 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grenoble scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Grenoble has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Le Mans conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble VS Le Mans
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble

(Home)
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
11 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0
Troyes
02 May
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Grenoble
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans

(Away)
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
09 May
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Mans
02 May
Le Mans
1 : 1
Reims
25 Apr
Grenoble
1 : 1
Le Mans
17 Apr
Le Mans
1 : 0
Clermont
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)