Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thonon Evian W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Grenoble W
30%
Draws
64%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Thonon Evian W have won more games recently than Grenoble W.
  • Model gives Thonon Evian W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Thonon Evian W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Grenoble W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Grenoble W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
0:1
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Thonon Evian W vs Grenoble W
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble W 10 / 100
Thonon Evian W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenoble W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Thonon Evian W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Grenoble W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble W VS Thonon Evian W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble W

(Home)
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
16 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 1
Grenoble W
24 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
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Thonon Evian W

(Away)
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
31 Jul
Thonon Evian W
4 : 4
Marseille W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)