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Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grenoble W host Thonon Evian W in the Seconde Ligue Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Thonon Evian W have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Grenoble W have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Grenoble W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.63, favoring Thonon Evian W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grenoble W
20%
Draws
40%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Thonon Evian W have won more games recently than Grenoble W.
  • Win probability leans Grenoble W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Grenoble W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
0:1
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Thonon Evian W vs Grenoble W
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble W 34 / 100
Thonon Evian W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenoble W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Thonon Evian W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Thonon Evian W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble W VS Thonon Evian W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble W

(Home)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
27 Sept
Grenoble W
3 : 0
Cannes W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

Thonon Evian W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)