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Gresford vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Harris C.
47' Event
Cottam H.

AI Match Summary

Caersws FC in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gresford
15%
Draws
76%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Gresford haven't matched Caersws FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caersws FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresford Caersws FC
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Caersws FC
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Caersws FC
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cottam H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresford 10 / 100
Caersws FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresford Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresford scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Caersws FC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Gresford remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gresford VS Caersws FC
0.25 Goals Scored 2.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresford

(Home)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
16 Aug
Gresford
0 : 5
Brickfield Rangers
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Caersws FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)