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Gresford vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Harris C.
47' Event
Cottam H.

AI Match Summary

Caersws FC in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gresford
15%
Draws
85%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gresford haven't matched Caersws FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caersws FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresford Caersws FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Caersws FC
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Caersws FC
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cottam H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresford 10 / 100
Caersws FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresford Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresford scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Caersws FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Caersws FC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gresford VS Caersws FC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresford

(Home)
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0
Gresford
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Gresford
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0
Gresford
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Caersws FC

(Away)
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0
Gresford
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Caersws FC
18 Apr
Caersws FC
6 : 0
Denbigh
13 Apr
Caersws FC
3 : 2
Buckley
11 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 1
Caersws FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)