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Gresford vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Gresford Logo

Gresford

1 - 0
FT
Holyhead Logo

Holyhead

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ozlu H.
(Penalty)
78'
Roberts J.
78'
Roberts J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gresford in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gresford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gresford
15%
Draws
85%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gresford haven't matched Holyhead's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Holyhead's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresford Holyhead
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Holyhead
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Gresford
3:0
Feb 11, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Gresford
0:2
Feb 4, 2023 Cymru North
Gresford vs Holyhead
1:3
Jan 29, 2022 Cymru North
Gresford vs Holyhead
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresford 10 / 100
Holyhead 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresford Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Gresford found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Holyhead lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gresford VS Holyhead
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresford

(Home)
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0
Gresford
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Gresford
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

Holyhead

(Away)
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)