Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Llanrug in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanrug
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gresford lately — more wins on the board than Llanrug.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Gresford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Llanrug, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Gresford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gresford Clean Sheet 11%
Llanrug Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gresford | Llanrug |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 20 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 FA Cup
Gresford vs Llanrug
9:0
Oct 8, 2022 FA Cup
Llanrug vs Gresford
0:3
Oct 3, 2009 FA Cup
Gresford vs Llanrug
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gresford 30 / 100
Llanrug 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gresford Llanrug
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gresford scored in 80% of their last 35 games.
Defensive concern: Llanrug conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Llanrug registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gresford VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gresford
(Home) 02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3 Newtown
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Gresford
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1 Gresford
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0 Gresford
03 Apr
Gresford
0 : 2 Caersws FC
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02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3 Newtown
03 Apr
Gresford
0 : 2 Caersws FC
01 Mar
Gresford
1 : 0 Holyhead
20 Feb
Gresford
3 : 0 Flint Mountain
30 Jan
Gresford
3 : 2 Holywell Town FC
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Llanrug
(Away) 18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
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18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
02 Nov
Aberffraw
0 : 1 Llanrug
07 Oct
Llay Welfare
1 : 0 Llanrug
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3
