Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gresik vs Persewar Waropen

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Sradion Gelora Joko Samudro, Gresik
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sausu F.
38' Event
Muzakkar K.
42'
Isir J.

AI Match Summary

Gresik in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gresik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gresik
35%
Draws
16%
Persewar Waropen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gresik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Persewar Waropen haven't matched Gresik's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Gresik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%
Persewar Waropen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresik Persewar Waropen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persewar Waropen
2:1
Feb 4, 2025 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persewar Waropen
1:0
Jan 22, 2024 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzakkar K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Persewar Waropen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresik 95 / 100
Persewar Waropen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresik Persewar Waropen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persewar Waropen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Gresik scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Gresik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Persewar Waropen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gresik VS Persewar Waropen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresik

(Home)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

Persewar Waropen

(Away)
25 Feb
Persewar Waropen
2 : 6
Persibo Bojonegoro
20 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Persiku Kudus
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)