Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gresley vs Bedworth United

England England

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Bedworth United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gresley
15%
Draws
85%
Bedworth United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedworth United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bedworth United have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Gresley are scoring more at 1.57.
  • Bedworth United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Bedworth United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gresley Clean Sheet 18%
Bedworth United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresley Bedworth United
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2017 FA Trophy
Gresley vs Bedworth United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresley 10 / 100
Bedworth United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresley Bedworth United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedworth United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bedworth United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Gresley scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Bedworth United's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gresley VS Bedworth United
0 Goals Scored 0.88
1.8 Goals Conceded 2.13
40% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

(Home)
23 Jul
Gresley
0 : 1
Nuneaton
09 Sept
Gresley
0 : 6
Kidsgrove Athletic
13 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 0
Gresley
13 Oct
Gresley
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
07 Oct
Gresley
0 : 1
Bedworth United
Page 1 of 6

Bedworth United

(Away)
29 Aug
Basford Utd.
0 : 1
Bedworth United
21 Jul
Bedworth United
0 : 2
Bromsgrove
18 Jul
Bedworth United
4 : 1
Quorn
20 Sept
Bedworth United
0 : 3
Anstey Nomads
06 Sept
Bedworth United
1 : 0
Darlaston Town (1874)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Lancaster -
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Skelmersdale 1
Mossley AFC 3
Bedworth United 1
Gresley 0
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Stratford -
Newcastle Town 3
Soham 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Alvechurch 2
Belper Town 1
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Cambridge City -
Redditch -
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Coalville Town -
Warrington Town -
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Brighouse Town 2
Bamber Bridge 4
Frickley 3
Sheffield FC 0
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Ashton United -
Altrincham -
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Colne 0
Clitheroe 3
Shaw Lane -
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Colwyn Bay 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Prescot Cables 3
Trafford 1
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Stalybridge -
Nantwich -
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Rushall -
Glossop North End 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
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Matlock -
Kettering -
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Lincoln Utd. 1
Leek Town 4
Stamford 3
Loughborough Dynamo 0
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Sutton Coldfield Town -
Ossett Town 3
Goole 0
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Market Drayton 0
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Spalding United -
Witton Albion -
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Workington -
Hednesford -
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Mickleover -
Buxton -
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Hyde 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Stocksbridge 1
Radcliffe 1
Kendal 2
Whitby -
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Marine -
Neots -
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Romulus 0
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 3
Peterborough Sports 0
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Stourbridge -
Barwell -
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Carlton Town -
King’s Lynn -
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Mildenhall -
Stafford -
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St Ives Town -
Farsley -
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Scarborough Athletic 2
South Shields 5
Chesham -
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Barton 1
Hayes & Yeading 3
Cheshunt 3
Herne Bay 0
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Hitchin -
Taunton Town 3
AFC Totton 2
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Merthyr Town -
Barking 3
Chipstead 2
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Beaconsfield Town -
Brentwood 10
South Park 5
VCD Athletic 0
Bedford 1
Arlesey -
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Needham Market -
Hereford -
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Weymouth -
FC Witham Town -
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Tilbury 0
Potters 4
Corinthian-Casuals 2
AFC Dunstable 0
Guernsey FC -
Hertford Town -
Biggleswade Town -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Lewes 4
East Grinstead Town 2
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Dunstable Town -
Stortford -
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Greenwich Borough 0
Hanwell Town 1
Dorchester -
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Basingstoke -
Tonbridge -
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Carshalton 0
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury Vale 4
Molesey 3
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Harlow -
Waltham Abbey 2
Faversham 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Hendon -
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Kings Langley -
Aveley 5
Marlow 3
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Burgess Hill -
Ashford Town 4
Uxbridge 1
Romford 0
Hastings 1
Kingstonian -
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Thurrock -
Maldon & Tiptree 5
Northwood 2
Canvey Island 0
Walton Casuals 3
Kidlington 3
Winchester City 1
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Slough Town -
Sittingbourne 3
Ashford United 0
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Merstham -
Harrow Borough -
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Whyteleafe 0
Haringey Borough 3
Thamesmead 3
Hornchurch 2
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Brightlingsea -
Sudbury 4
Aylesbury United 3
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Metropolitan Police -
Royston Town -
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Enfield Town -
Hythe 1
Kempston 0
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Leatherhead -
Hartley Wintney 1
Slimbridge 0
Barnstaple Town 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bristol Manor Farm 4
Cinderford Town 1
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Gosport Borough -
Farnborough -
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Bishops Cleeve 0
Larkhall 1
Tiverton -
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Banbury -
Paulton Rovers 3
Salisbury 2
Evesham 2
Cirencester 3
Frome Town -
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Didcot 0
Shortwood 1
Margate -
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Staines -
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Dereham 3
Shoreham 1
Egham Town 7
Billericay -
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Tooting & Mitcham -
Bury Town 5
Ramsgate 3
Phoenix Sports 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Dorking Wanderers -
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Ware -
Leiston -
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Folkestone -
Moneyfields 4
Bideford 2
Fleet Town 2
Yate 3
Cray Wanderers 8
Horsham FC 0
Norwich Utd 3
Grays 4
Thame United 1
Mangotsfield 0
North Leigh 1
Wimborne 3
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Semi-finals
Lancaster 1
Mossley AFC 0
Bedworth United 1
Stratford 2
Newcastle Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 4
Halesowen 0
Grantham Town 1
Alvechurch 2
Cambridge City 0
Redditch 0
Coalville Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Frickley 1
Ashton United 4
Altrincham 3
Clitheroe 0
Shaw Lane 3
Ramsbottom Utd 6
Prescot Cables 1
Stalybridge 5
Nantwich 0
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 3
Matlock 2
Kettering 2
Leek Town 3
Stamford 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Spalding United 1
Witton Albion 0
Workington 4
Hednesford 1
Mickleover 0
Buxton 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Kendal 2
Whitby 1
Marine 3
Neots 3
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Stourbridge 1
Barwell 1
Carlton Town 0
King’s Lynn 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 6
St Ives Town 0
Farsley 4
South Shields 5
Chesham 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Cheshunt 0
Hitchin 5
Taunton Town 2
Merthyr Town 1
Barking 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 4
Bedford 2
Arlesey 1
Needham Market 3
Hereford 4
Weymouth 1
FC Witham Town 0
Potters 3
Corinthian-Casuals 3
Hertford Town 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Lewes 4
Dunstable Town 1
Stortford 4
Hanwell Town 0
Dorchester 2
Basingstoke 1
Tonbridge 4
Heybridge 5
Aylesbury Vale 2
Harlow 4
Waltham Abbey 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Hendon 3
Kings Langley 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford Town 4
Hastings 3
Kingstonian 7
Thurrock 4
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Walton Casuals 0
Kidlington 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 3
Merstham 1
Harrow Borough 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 3
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Royston Town 2
Enfield Town 0
Hythe 0
Leatherhead 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Gosport Borough 1
Farnborough 3
Larkhall 1
Tiverton 4
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 6
Cirencester 2
Frome Town 0
Shortwood 2
Margate 3
Staines 0
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Egham Town 4
Billericay 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bury Town 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Dorking Wanderers 5
Ware 0
Leiston 3
Folkestone 2
Moneyfields 1
Yate 0
Cray Wanderers 4
Grays 2
Thame United 5
Wimborne 0
Lowestoft 0
Worthing FC 3
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Final
Lancaster 3
Stratford 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Grantham Town 2
Alvechurch 1
Coalville Town 5
Warrington Town 4
Ashton United 3
Altrincham 4
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Stalybridge 3
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 4
Leek Town 3
Stamford 1
Droylsden 2
Chasetown 1
Workington 3
Hednesford 2
Cleethorpes 3
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 5
Neots 2
Stourbridge 3
Barwell 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 3
South Shields 1
Chesham 3
Hitchin 1
Taunton Town 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 3
Needham Market 1
Hereford 2
Potters 1
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
Lewes 2
Stortford 0
Dorchester 1
Heybridge 2
Harlow 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hendon 3
Burgess Hill 0
Ashford Town 2
Kingstonian 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 0
Metropolitan Police 1
Royston Town 3
Leatherhead 2
Hartley Wintney 3
Gosport Borough 0
Farnborough 6
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 1
Shortwood 2
Margate 2
Egham Town 0
Billericay 6
Bury Town 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
Leiston 1
Moneyfields 2
Cray Wanderers 5
Thame United 1
Worthing FC 0
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