Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2018/2019

Gresley

1 - 2

Newcastle Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Town in this FA Trophy 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Gresley

15%

Draws

85%

Newcastle Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Gresley lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Town.
Win probability leans Gresley's way, sitting at 40%.
Gresley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Newcastle Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Gresley Clean Sheet 16%

Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gresley	Newcastle Town
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	1.57	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.54	2.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2018 FA Trophy

Gresley vs Newcastle Town

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresley 39 / 100

Newcastle Town 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gresley Newcastle Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresley Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Gresley found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Newcastle Town registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gresley VS Newcastle Town

0 Goals Scored 0.63

2.33 Goals Conceded 2.13

33% Over 1.5 75%

33% Over 2.5 63%

33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

(Home)

23 Jul

Gresley

0 : 1

Nuneaton

09 Sept

Gresley

0 : 6

Kidsgrove Athletic

13 Sept

Long Eaton

2 : 0

Gresley

13 Oct

Gresley

1 : 2

Newcastle Town

07 Oct

Gresley

0 : 1

Bedworth United

Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Town

(Away)

05 Sept

Cleethorpes

1 : 2

Newcastle Town

29 Aug

Newcastle Town

0 : 3

Bourne

06 Sept

Belper Town

2 : 1

Newcastle Town

15 Jul

Newcastle Town

0 : 3

Macclesfield

08 Jul

Newcastle Town

1 : 7

Crewe

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports 2

Cambridge City 4

Rushall -

TBD -

Stafford -

Stamford 1

Belper Town 0

Loughborough Dynamo 2

Leek Town 5

Stourbridge -

TBD -

Kettering -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

Nantwich -

Buxton -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

FC Wisbech Town 3

Corby 2

Yaxley 3

Frickley 3

Skelmersdale 1

Trafford 1

Ramsbottom Utd 2

AFC Mansfield 2

Soham 1

TBD -

Hednesford -

Pickering Town 3

Stocksbridge 0

Tadcaster Albion 1

Droylsden 3

Neots -

TBD -

Matlock -

Barwell -

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Lancaster -

TBD -

Marine -

Clitheroe 3

Pontefract Collieries 2

Colwyn Bay 0

Ossett United 6

Newcastle Town 2

Gresley 1

Lincoln Utd. 1

Chasetown 2

Scarborough Athletic -

TBD -

Workington -

Marske United 4

Atherton Collieries 3

Radcliffe 2

Cleethorpes 3

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Halesowen -

TBD -

Grantham Town -

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Kendal 1

Prescot Cables 5

Alvechurch -

TBD -

Stratford -

Redditch -

TBD -

Mickleover -

Witton Albion -

TBD -

Whitby -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Farsley -

TBD -

Morpeth 3

Brighouse Town 4

Bedworth United -

TBD -

Spalding United 1

Carlton Town 4

South Shields -

TBD -

North Ferriby United -

Bamber Bridge -

TBD -

Hyde -

Brightlingsea -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers 0

Canvey Island 2

Ramsgate 2

Phoenix Sports 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Lewes -

TBD -

Westfield 2

Ashford Town 3

Farnborough -

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

Chipstead 2

Welwyn Garden 1

South Park 1

Berkhamsted Town 5

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Grays 2

Sevenoaks 4

Whyteleafe 4

Hastings 2

TBD -

Tonbridge -

Hendon -

TBD -

Staines -

Harrow Borough -

TBD -

Biggleswade Town -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Wimborne -

Lowestoft -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Chalfont St Peter 0

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Bristol Manor Farm 1

Paulton Rovers 0

Larkhall 0

Thame United 1

Horsham FC 3

Ware 1

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals -

Margate -

TBD -

Potters -

Brentwood 4

Marlow 1

Bedfont Sports 1

Whitstable Town 4

Frome Town -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Herne Bay 2

Aylesbury Vale 1

AFC Dunstable 0

FC Witham Town 1

Kings Langley -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Leiston -

TBD -

Hanwell Town 1

VCD Athletic 3

Thatcham 2

Cirencester 0

Slimbridge 2

Melksham 3

Salisbury -

TBD -

Barnstaple Town 1

Fleet Town 2

East Grinstead Town 1

Great Wakering 0

TBD -

Merstham -

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Banbury -

Hitchin -

TBD -

Barking 0

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Carshalton -

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Harlow -

Weymouth -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Cinderford Town 5

Moneyfields 0

Bideford 2

Street 3

Yate 1

Blackfield & Langley 0

TBD -

Dorchester -

Gosport Borough -

TBD -

North Leigh 2

AFC Totton 6

Aveley 2

Basildon 1

Northwood 0

Dunstable Town 2

Kempston 3

Dereham 1

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Chesham -

Walton Casuals -

TBD -

Three Bridges 0

Molesey 1

Bracknell Town 3

Haywards Heath 2

TBD -

Bognor Regis -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Leatherhead -

Didcot 2

Hertford Town 1

Kidlington 0

Mangotsfield 3

Greenwich Borough 4

Egham Town 1

Aylesbury United 2

Mildenhall 3

Hythe 2

Romania 0

TBD -

Stortford -

Hartley Wintney -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Sittingbourne 2

Faversham 0

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Basford Utd. 2

Cambridge City 1

Rushall 1

Stafford 2

Stamford 1

Leek Town 0

Stourbridge 0

Kettering 2

Stalybridge 1

Nantwich 0

Buxton 5

King’s Lynn 4

FC Wisbech Town 1

Yaxley 3

Frickley 0

Ramsbottom Utd 3

AFC Mansfield 2

Hednesford 1

Pickering Town 5

Droylsden 4

Neots 1

Matlock 0

Barwell 4

Coalville Town 3

Lancaster 2

Marine 0

Clitheroe 1

Ossett United 2

Newcastle Town 5

Chasetown 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

Workington 1

Marske United 2

Cleethorpes 0

Gainsborough 0

Tamworth 3

Halesowen 4

Grantham Town 0

Warrington Town 0

Prescot Cables 1

Alvechurch 1

Stratford 4

Redditch 0

Mickleover 1

Witton Albion 1

Whitby 0

St Ives Town 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Farsley 4

Brighouse Town 1

Bedworth United 0

Carlton Town 1

South Shields 4

North Ferriby United 0

Bamber Bridge 0

Hyde 3

Brightlingsea 1

Canvey Island 0

Ramsgate 0

Hornchurch 6

Lewes 2

Ashford Town 1

Farnborough 2

Merthyr Town 3

Chipstead 2

Berkhamsted Town 1

Kingstonian 3

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers 2

Sevenoaks 1

Whyteleafe 1

Tonbridge 2

Hendon 2

Staines 1

Harrow Borough 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Basingstoke 4

Wimborne 2

Lowestoft 0

Enfield Town 1

Royston Town 3

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Bristol Manor Farm 2

Thame United 4

Horsham FC 3

Corinthian-Casuals 0

Margate 1

Potters 2

Brentwood 3

Whitstable Town 1

Frome Town 1

Poole Town 2

Herne Bay 2

FC Witham Town 1

Kings Langley 0

Needham Market 2

Leiston 3

VCD Athletic 1

Thatcham 1

Melksham 2

Salisbury 3

Fleet Town 0

East Grinstead Town 0

Merstham 2

Swindon Supermarine 1

Banbury 4

Hitchin 0

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police 3

Carshalton 4

Whitehawk 2

Harlow 3

Weymouth 3

Taunton Town 1

Cinderford Town 3

Street 6

Yate 1

Dorchester 3

Gosport Borough 1

AFC Totton 2

Aveley 1

Dunstable Town 0

Kempston 2

Beaconsfield Town 4

Burgess Hill 2

Worthing FC 3

Haringey Borough 3

Chesham 4

Walton Casuals 1

Molesey 0

Bracknell Town 4

Bognor Regis 5

Folkestone 5

Leatherhead 1

Didcot 5

Mangotsfield 3

Greenwich Borough 4

Mildenhall 2

Hythe 1

Stortford 2

Hartley Wintney 2

Tiverton 6

Sittingbourne 1

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Basford Utd. 4

Stafford 0

Stamford 1

Kettering 0

Stalybridge 2

Buxton 1

Yaxley 3

Ramsbottom Utd 7

AFC Mansfield 2

Pickering Town 4

Neots 0

Barwell 1

Lancaster 1

Ossett United 0

Newcastle Town 2

Workington 7

Marske United 2

Tamworth 0

Halesowen 3

Prescot Cables 2

Stratford 2

Mickleover 1

Witton Albion 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0

Farsley 4

Carlton Town 0

South Shields 2

Hyde 1

Brightlingsea 2

Hornchurch 1

Lewes 2

Merthyr Town 0

Chipstead 2

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers 1

Tonbridge 0

Hendon 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Basingstoke 2

Enfield Town 1

Royston Town 5

Thame United 2

Horsham FC 1

Potters 0

Brentwood 3

Poole Town 6

Herne Bay 0

Needham Market 1

Leiston 2

Melksham 1

Salisbury 2

Merstham 0

Banbury 0

Hayes & Yeading 2

Carshalton 3

Harlow 1

Weymouth 3

Street 2

Dorchester 3

AFC Totton 1

Aveley 1

Beaconsfield Town 2

Worthing FC 1

Chesham 0

Walton Casuals 2

Bognor Regis 0

Folkestone 3

Didcot 0

Greenwich Borough 1

Stortford 0

Tiverton 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Gresley vs Newcastle Town

England

Gresley

Newcastle Town

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

Newcastle Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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