Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gresley vs Romulus

England England

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Gresley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gresley
15%
Draws
85%
Romulus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Romulus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gresley come out ahead of Romulus on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gresley's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Gresley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gresley, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gresley here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gresley Clean Sheet 17%
Romulus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresley Romulus
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2015 FA Trophy
Gresley vs Romulus
2:1
Oct 2, 2015 FA Trophy
Romulus vs Gresley
0:0
Nov 1, 2014 FA Trophy
Gresley vs Romulus
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresley 36 / 100
Romulus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresley Romulus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresley found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Romulus has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Romulus registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gresley VS Romulus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

(Home)
23 Jul
Gresley
0 : 1
Nuneaton
09 Sept
Gresley
0 : 6
Kidsgrove Athletic
13 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 0
Gresley
13 Oct
Gresley
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
07 Oct
Gresley
0 : 1
Bedworth United
Page 1 of 6

Romulus

(Away)
18 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 0
Romulus
03 Sept
Basford Utd.
5 : 0
Romulus
07 Sept
Romulus
0 : 4
Buxton
22 Sept
Neots
4 : 3
Romulus
08 Sept
Romulus
4 : 0
Belper Town
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Chasetown 5
Norton United 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Newcastle Town 2
Grantham Town -
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Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Loughborough Dynamo 6
Spennymoor 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Lancaster 2
Bamber Bridge 6
Spalding United 6
Soham 1
Bedworth United 2
Leek Town 5
Rushall -
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Cambridge City -
Stafford 1
Rugby 0
St Ives Town 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans -
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Farsley -
Matlock -
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Halesowen -
Neots -
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Scarborough Athletic -
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Radcliffe 0
Darlington FC 2
Curzon Ashton -
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Kendal 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Stamford -
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Barwell -
Witton Albion -
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Stocksbridge 3
Sheffield FC 4
Clitheroe 3
Droylsden 2
TBD -
Workington -
Market Drayton 5
Rainworth 2
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King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
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Carlton Town -
Redditch -
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Corby -
Trafford -
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Brighouse Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Gresley 2
Tividale 0
Daventry 0
Romulus 2
Prescot Cables 2
Salford 1
Burscough 0
Goole 1
United of Manchester -
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Brigg Town 2
Padiham 4
Ashton United -
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Buxton -
Nantwich -
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Skelmersdale -
Whitby -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Mickleover 4
Coalville Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
Warrington Town 1
Ossett Albion 1
New Mills 2
Evesham -
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Banbury -
Frickley -
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Marine -
Hereford -
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Cinderford Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Bishops Cleeve -
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Clevedon 0
Mangotsfield 3
FC Witham Town -
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Potters 3
Royston Town 6
Egham Town 2
Bridgwater United 1
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Truro -
Dereham 2
Hanwell Town 1
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Enfield Town -
Tiverton 2
Wantage 0
Bashley 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth -
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Larkhall 2
Shortwood 4
Hitchin -
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Burnham FC -
Maidstone -
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Needham Market 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Sudbury 3
Whitstable Town 1
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Bognor Regis -
Metropolitan Police -
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Billericay -
Chalfont St Peter 2
AFC Hayes 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Barkingside -
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Kingstonian -
Ware 4
Great Wakering 0
Sittingbourne 2
Horsham FC 6
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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East Grinstead Town 1
Walton Casuals 6
Three Bridges 4
Carshalton 1
Aylesbury United 2
Thamesmead 3
Lewes -
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Wroxham 2
Harlow 5
South Park 5
Cheshunt 1
Herne Bay 3
Heybridge 6
Leiston -
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Corinthian-Casuals 4
Leighton Town 6
Fleet Town 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
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Paulton Rovers -
Burgess Hill 1
Aveley 0
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Chesham -
Thurrock 4
Tilbury 3
Ramsgate 1
Folkestone 4
Slough Town -
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Margate -
Cirencester -
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Taunton Town 1
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Redhill 2
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Biggleswade Town -
North Leigh 2
Yate 1
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Poole Town -
Uxbridge 4
Romford 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hythe 3
Didcot 3
Marlow 1
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Bideford -
Bedford 4
Chipstead 3
Burnham Ramblers 1
Brightlingsea 5
Frome Town -
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Chippenham Town -
Whyteleafe 2
Redbridge 1
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Dunstable Town -
Leatherhead -
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Canvey Island -
Hornchurch -
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Harrow Borough -
Aylesbury Vale 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
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Merstham -
Histon -
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Belper Town -
Faversham 4
Beaconsfield Town 0
Hastings 0
Cray Wanderers 2
Hungerford -
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East Thurrock Utd -
Wingate & Finchley -
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Arlesey -
Hendon -
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Bury Town -
Chatham 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
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Worthing FC -
Tonbridge -
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VCD Athletic -
Hampton & Richmond -
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Grays -
Wimborne 3
Godalming Town 2
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Dorchester -
Guernsey FC 4
Barton 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Northwood 3
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Semi-finals
Chasetown 2
Newcastle Town 1
Grantham Town 1
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Spennymoor 3
Bamber Bridge 1
Spalding United 3
Leek Town 4
Rushall 2
Cambridge City 0
Stafford 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Farsley 0
Matlock 1
Halesowen 5
Neots 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Darlington FC 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Northwich Victoria 0
Stamford 0
Barwell 1
Witton Albion 1
Sheffield FC 0
Clitheroe 0
Workington 2
Market Drayton 3
King’s Lynn 7
Stourbridge 5
Carlton Town 3
Redditch 1
Corby 0
Trafford 5
Ossett Town 2
Gresley 3
Romulus 1
Prescot Cables 2
Goole 4
United of Manchester 2
Padiham 0
Ashton United 0
Buxton 2
Nantwich 2
Skelmersdale 0
Whitby 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Mickleover 3
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
New Mills 3
Evesham 2
Banbury 3
Frickley 0
Marine 2
Hereford 2
AFC Totton 1
Bishops Cleeve 1
Mangotsfield 5
FC Witham Town 2
Royston Town 1
Egham Town 0
Truro 3
Dereham 1
Enfield Town 0
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth 1
Shortwood 0
Hitchin 2
Burnham FC 4
Maidstone 3
Walton & Hersham 2
Sudbury 4
Bognor Regis 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Billericay 0
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Barkingside 3
Kingstonian 1
Ware 0
Horsham FC 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Walton Casuals 2
Three Bridges 1
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 1
Harlow 0
South Park 1
Heybridge 4
Leiston 7
Leighton Town 4
Fleet Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Burgess Hill 2
Chesham 0
Thurrock 2
Folkestone 3
Slough Town 2
Margate 0
Cirencester 0
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Biggleswade Town 4
North Leigh 1
Poole Town 3
Uxbridge 6
Hythe 1
Didcot 5
Bideford 4
Bedford 4
Brightlingsea 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Whyteleafe 3
Dunstable Town 1
Leatherhead 4
Canvey Island 3
Hornchurch 2
Harrow Borough 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Merstham 2
Histon 3
Belper Town 2
Faversham 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Hungerford 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Arlesey 2
Hendon 3
Bury Town 1
Chatham 1
Worthing FC 2
Tonbridge 2
VCD Athletic 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Grays 3
Wimborne 3
Dorchester 1
Guernsey FC 2
Northwood 3
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Final
Chasetown 4
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Spennymoor 4
Leek Town 3
Rushall 5
Stratford 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Halesowen 3
Neots 3
Darlington FC 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Barwell 2
Witton Albion 3
Workington 6
King’s Lynn 3
Stourbridge 1
Redditch 5
Trafford 2
Gresley 2
Goole 0
United of Manchester 2
Buxton 0
Nantwich 1
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Mickleover 3
New Mills 1
Banbury 3
Marine 2
Hereford 2
Mangotsfield 0
FC Witham Town 0
Truro 1
Dereham 0
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
Burnham FC 0
Maidstone 0
Sudbury 2
Metropolitan Police 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Barkingside 1
Horsham FC 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 4
Heybridge 3
Leiston 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
Slough Town 3
Merthyr Town 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Poole Town 2
Uxbridge 1
Didcot 2
Bedford 2
Chippenham Town 1
Whyteleafe 1
Leatherhead 4
Hornchurch 4
Merstham 2
Histon 0
Cray Wanderers 2
East Thurrock Utd 6
Arlesey 5
Hendon 4
Worthing FC 0
Tonbridge 2
Grays 0
Wimborne 2
Northwood 1
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