Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gresley vs Tividale

England England

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gresley in this FA Trophy 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gresley
15%
Draws
85%
Tividale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tividale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gresley have won more games recently than Tividale.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Gresley taking it.
  • Gresley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gresley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gresley Clean Sheet 19%
Tividale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresley Tividale
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 11 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 FA Trophy
Gresley vs Tividale
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresley 36 / 100
Tividale 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresley Tividale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tividale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Away concern: Tividale has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gresley scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gresley VS Tividale
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

(Home)
23 Jul
Gresley
0 : 1
Nuneaton
09 Sept
Gresley
0 : 6
Kidsgrove Athletic
13 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 0
Gresley
13 Oct
Gresley
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
07 Oct
Gresley
0 : 1
Bedworth United
Page 1 of 6

Tividale

(Away)
04 Sept
Tividale
0 : 1
Spalding United
22 Sept
Tividale
2 : 4
Nantwich
02 Sept
Tividale
2 : 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
03 Oct
Stafford
3 : 1
Tividale
12 Sept
Tividale
0 : 1
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Chasetown 5
Norton United 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Newcastle Town 2
Grantham Town -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Loughborough Dynamo 6
Spennymoor 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Lancaster 2
Bamber Bridge 6
Spalding United 6
Soham 1
Bedworth United 2
Leek Town 5
Rushall -
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Cambridge City -
Stafford 1
Rugby 0
St Ives Town 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans -
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Farsley -
Matlock -
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Halesowen -
Neots -
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
Radcliffe 0
Darlington FC 2
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Kendal 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Stamford -
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Barwell -
Witton Albion -
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Stocksbridge 3
Sheffield FC 4
Clitheroe 3
Droylsden 2
TBD -
Workington -
Market Drayton 5
Rainworth 2
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
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Carlton Town -
Redditch -
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Corby -
Trafford -
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Brighouse Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Gresley 2
Tividale 0
Daventry 0
Romulus 2
Prescot Cables 2
Salford 1
Burscough 0
Goole 1
United of Manchester -
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Brigg Town 2
Padiham 4
Ashton United -
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Buxton -
Nantwich -
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Skelmersdale -
Whitby -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Mickleover 4
Coalville Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
Warrington Town 1
Ossett Albion 1
New Mills 2
Evesham -
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Banbury -
Frickley -
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Marine -
Hereford -
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Cinderford Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Bishops Cleeve -
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Clevedon 0
Mangotsfield 3
FC Witham Town -
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Potters 3
Royston Town 6
Egham Town 2
Bridgwater United 1
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Truro -
Dereham 2
Hanwell Town 1
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Enfield Town -
Tiverton 2
Wantage 0
Bashley 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth -
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Larkhall 2
Shortwood 4
Hitchin -
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Burnham FC -
Maidstone -
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Needham Market 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Sudbury 3
Whitstable Town 1
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Bognor Regis -
Metropolitan Police -
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Billericay -
Chalfont St Peter 2
AFC Hayes 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Barkingside -
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Kingstonian -
Ware 4
Great Wakering 0
Sittingbourne 2
Horsham FC 6
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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East Grinstead Town 1
Walton Casuals 6
Three Bridges 4
Carshalton 1
Aylesbury United 2
Thamesmead 3
Lewes -
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Wroxham 2
Harlow 5
South Park 5
Cheshunt 1
Herne Bay 3
Heybridge 6
Leiston -
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Corinthian-Casuals 4
Leighton Town 6
Fleet Town 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
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Paulton Rovers -
Burgess Hill 1
Aveley 0
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Chesham -
Thurrock 4
Tilbury 3
Ramsgate 1
Folkestone 4
Slough Town -
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Margate -
Cirencester -
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Taunton Town 1
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Redhill 2
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Biggleswade Town -
North Leigh 2
Yate 1
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Poole Town -
Uxbridge 4
Romford 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hythe 3
Didcot 3
Marlow 1
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Bideford -
Bedford 4
Chipstead 3
Burnham Ramblers 1
Brightlingsea 5
Frome Town -
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Chippenham Town -
Whyteleafe 2
Redbridge 1
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Dunstable Town -
Leatherhead -
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Canvey Island -
Hornchurch -
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Harrow Borough -
Aylesbury Vale 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
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Merstham -
Histon -
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Belper Town -
Faversham 4
Beaconsfield Town 0
Hastings 0
Cray Wanderers 2
Hungerford -
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East Thurrock Utd -
Wingate & Finchley -
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Arlesey -
Hendon -
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Bury Town -
Chatham 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
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Worthing FC -
Tonbridge -
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VCD Athletic -
Hampton & Richmond -
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Grays -
Wimborne 3
Godalming Town 2
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Dorchester -
Guernsey FC 4
Barton 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Northwood 3
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Semi-finals
Chasetown 2
Newcastle Town 1
Grantham Town 1
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Spennymoor 3
Bamber Bridge 1
Spalding United 3
Leek Town 4
Rushall 2
Cambridge City 0
Stafford 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Farsley 0
Matlock 1
Halesowen 5
Neots 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Darlington FC 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Northwich Victoria 0
Stamford 0
Barwell 1
Witton Albion 1
Sheffield FC 0
Clitheroe 0
Workington 2
Market Drayton 3
King’s Lynn 7
Stourbridge 5
Carlton Town 3
Redditch 1
Corby 0
Trafford 5
Ossett Town 2
Gresley 3
Romulus 1
Prescot Cables 2
Goole 4
United of Manchester 2
Padiham 0
Ashton United 0
Buxton 2
Nantwich 2
Skelmersdale 0
Whitby 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Mickleover 3
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
New Mills 3
Evesham 2
Banbury 3
Frickley 0
Marine 2
Hereford 2
AFC Totton 1
Bishops Cleeve 1
Mangotsfield 5
FC Witham Town 2
Royston Town 1
Egham Town 0
Truro 3
Dereham 1
Enfield Town 0
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth 1
Shortwood 0
Hitchin 2
Burnham FC 4
Maidstone 3
Walton & Hersham 2
Sudbury 4
Bognor Regis 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Billericay 0
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Barkingside 3
Kingstonian 1
Ware 0
Horsham FC 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Walton Casuals 2
Three Bridges 1
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 1
Harlow 0
South Park 1
Heybridge 4
Leiston 7
Leighton Town 4
Fleet Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Burgess Hill 2
Chesham 0
Thurrock 2
Folkestone 3
Slough Town 2
Margate 0
Cirencester 0
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Biggleswade Town 4
North Leigh 1
Poole Town 3
Uxbridge 6
Hythe 1
Didcot 5
Bideford 4
Bedford 4
Brightlingsea 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Whyteleafe 3
Dunstable Town 1
Leatherhead 4
Canvey Island 3
Hornchurch 2
Harrow Borough 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Merstham 2
Histon 3
Belper Town 2
Faversham 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Hungerford 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Arlesey 2
Hendon 3
Bury Town 1
Chatham 1
Worthing FC 2
Tonbridge 2
VCD Athletic 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Grays 3
Wimborne 3
Dorchester 1
Guernsey FC 2
Northwood 3
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Final
Chasetown 4
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Spennymoor 4
Leek Town 3
Rushall 5
Stratford 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Halesowen 3
Neots 3
Darlington FC 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Barwell 2
Witton Albion 3
Workington 6
King’s Lynn 3
Stourbridge 1
Redditch 5
Trafford 2
Gresley 2
Goole 0
United of Manchester 2
Buxton 0
Nantwich 1
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Mickleover 3
New Mills 1
Banbury 3
Marine 2
Hereford 2
Mangotsfield 0
FC Witham Town 0
Truro 1
Dereham 0
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
Burnham FC 0
Maidstone 0
Sudbury 2
Metropolitan Police 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Barkingside 1
Horsham FC 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 4
Heybridge 3
Leiston 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
Slough Town 3
Merthyr Town 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Poole Town 2
Uxbridge 1
Didcot 2
Bedford 2
Chippenham Town 1
Whyteleafe 1
Leatherhead 4
Hornchurch 4
Merstham 2
Histon 0
Cray Wanderers 2
East Thurrock Utd 6
Arlesey 5
Hendon 4
Worthing FC 0
Tonbridge 2
Grays 0
Wimborne 2
Northwood 1
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