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Gretna 2008 vs Ashington

World World

Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Hornsby J.
42' Event
Scott L.
78' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2018 game between Gretna 2008 and Ashington finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ashington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gretna 2008
15%
Draws
76%
Ashington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ashington come out ahead of Gretna 2008 on wins alone.
  • Ashington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
Ashington Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gretna 2008 Ashington
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2018 Club Friendly
Gretna 2008 vs Ashington
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gretna 2008 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ashington Compare

Top Goalscorer Hornsby J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scott L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gretna 2008 10 / 100
Ashington 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gretna 2008 Ashington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Ashington has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Gretna 2008 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gretna 2008 VS Ashington
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gretna 2008

(Home)
29 Aug
Largs Thistle
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
22 Aug
Clydebank FC
7 : 1
Gretna 2008
15 Aug
Gretna 2008
3 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
08 Aug
Gretna 2008
1 : 5
Kilwinning Rangers
01 Aug
Troon FC
4 : 1
Gretna 2008
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Ashington

(Away)
29 Aug
Ashington
3 : 1
West Auckland Town
31 Aug
Crook Town
2 : 1
Ashington
30 Jul
Ashington
4 : 0
Spennymoor
27 Jul
Ashington
0 : 1
Workington
23 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 3
Ashington
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