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Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gretna 2008 host Johnstone Burgh in the Lowland League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Gretna 2008 at 1.58 goals for, 2.55 against; Johnstone Burgh at 2.13 for, 1.67 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.69, favoring Johnstone Burgh. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gretna 2008
15%
Draws
45%
Johnstone Burgh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johnstone Burgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gretna 2008 come out ahead of Johnstone Burgh on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gretna 2008 taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gretna 2008 Johnstone Burgh
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.58 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gretna 2008 38 / 100
Johnstone Burgh 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gretna 2008 Johnstone Burgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Johnstone Burgh let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Recent resilience: Gretna 2008 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Johnstone Burgh lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gretna 2008 VS Johnstone Burgh
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gretna 2008

(Home)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 7

Johnstone Burgh

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)