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Gretna 2008 vs Kilwinning Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Monti C.
16' Event
O'Neill D.
29' Event
Scullion R.
Assist: Monti C.

AI Match Summary

Kilwinning Rangers in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kilwinning Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gretna 2008
15%
Draws
49%
Kilwinning Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilwinning Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kilwinning Rangers have won more games recently than Gretna 2008.
  • Kilwinning Rangers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
Kilwinning Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gretna 2008 Kilwinning Rangers
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.62 2.42
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Kilwinning Rangers
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gretna 2008 Compare

Top Goalscorer McLinden H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kilwinning Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Monti C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Neill D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gretna 2008 26 / 100
Kilwinning Rangers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gretna 2008 Kilwinning Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilwinning Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gretna 2008 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Kilwinning Rangers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Gretna 2008 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gretna 2008 VS Kilwinning Rangers
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gretna 2008

(Home)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 6

Kilwinning Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 1
Kilwinning Rangers
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
15 Sept
Albion Rovers
0 : 3
Kilwinning Rangers
12 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
4 : 0
Celtic B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)